Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: VPS 0-0 Lahti, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
VPS 0-1 Lahti
Original prediction
VPS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.9% | 41.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.8% | 30.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.3% | 28.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
VPS 0–0 Lahti
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
VPS
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
VPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VPSWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LahtiWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VPSLahti
46.0Attack39.7
66.7Defence69.8
52.4Form46.0
56.0Power52.7
0.91xG0.72