Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: VPS 0-0 KuPS, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
VPS 0-2 KuPS
Original prediction
KuPS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 30.2% | 31.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.9% | 29.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.0% | 39.1% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
VPS 0–0 KuPS
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VPSLWLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KuPSDDLWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VPSKuPS
41.7Attack54.2
68.1Defence66.7
50.0Form62.5
54.4Power62.5
0.87xG0.97