Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
VPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while VPS holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
VPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80