Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: VPS 0-0 AC Oulu, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
VPS 1-0 AC Oulu
Original prediction
VPS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.8% | 29.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 27.2% | 24.6% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
VPS 0–0 AC Oulu
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
VPS
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
VPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VPSLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AC OuluDWLLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VPSAC Oulu
43.9Attack37.9
66.7Defence62.1
50.0Form51.5
54.6Power52.2
1.08xG0.69