Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
VPS II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while TP-47 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS II hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while VPS II holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS II
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
7.5%
VPS II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 19 · avg 2.00/3.80