Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
VPS II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SJK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SJK hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Suomen Cup, while SJK holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SJK
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
SJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40