Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
VPS II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kraft are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS II hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while VPS II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS II
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
6.8%
VPS II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60