Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VPS II 1-2 JBK
Original prediction
JBK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.1% | 39.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.2% | 18.5% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.6% | 42.5% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–26%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
JBK
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
JBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VPS IIWWLLW
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
JBKLDWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
VPS IIJBK
90.5Attack68.3
27.0Defence55.6
49.2Form55.6
54.2Power58.5
2.69xG2.92