Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VPS II 6-4 GBK
Original prediction
VPS II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.7% | 41.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.2% | 18.2% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.1% | 40.3% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
VPS II
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
VPS II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VPS IILLWLW
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GBKDWDLW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VPS IIGBK
82.5Attack78.9
28.1Defence38.6
43.9Form57.9
50.2Power57.0
3.36xG3.37