Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guarulhos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Votoraty are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Guarulhos are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarulhos hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Paulista Série B, while Guarulhos holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guarulhos
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Guarulhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60