GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/20/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Voska Sport are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vardar Skopje are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vardar Skopje hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Voska SportLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vardar SkopjeLLLWW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Voska SportVardar Skopje
37.4Attack33.3
58.6Defence66.7
42.4Form50.0
48.1Power51.0
1.05xG1.01
View match centre →