GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shkendija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Voska Sport are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the First League, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shkendija

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Voska SportWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ShkendijaLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Voska SportShkendija
37.4Attack83.3
58.6Defence100.0
42.4Form100.0
48.1Power94.8
0.90xG1.37
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