GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/13/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vorskla Poltava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Zorya Luhansk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Zorya Luhansk hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vorskla PoltavaLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Zorya LuhanskLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vorskla PoltavaZorya Luhansk
33.3Attack32.2
48.9Defence58.9
36.7Form35.6
42.3Power44.7
0.88xG0.90
View match centre →