GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/25/2024, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Vorskla Poltava II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vorskla Poltava IILW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
TrostianetsWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Vorskla Poltava IITrostianets
27.8Attack33.3
37.0Defence83.3
24.1Form50.0
32.6Power56.2
0.76xG1.73
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