GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/7/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hirnyk-Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Vorskla Poltava II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hirnyk-Sport are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hirnyk-Sport hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Druha Liga, while Hirnyk-Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hirnyk-Sport

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Hirnyk-Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vorskla Poltava IILLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hirnyk-SportDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Vorskla Poltava IIHirnyk-Sport
27.8Attack35.2
37.0Defence63.0
24.1Form48.1
32.6Power51.4
0.63xG1.29
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