GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/23/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Vorskla Poltava II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

74.0%

Model confidence

74.0%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vorskla Poltava IILWLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChernihivDWDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Vorskla Poltava IIChernihiv
27.8Attack55.6
37.0Defence85.2
24.1Form70.4
32.6Power69.9
0.44xG2.15
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