Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vora · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vora 4-1 Partizani
Original prediction
Vora
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.3% | 37.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 26.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.7% | 35.5% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Vora
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Vora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VoraDWDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PartizaniLWLLW
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VoraPartizani
22.2Attack44.4
38.9Defence27.8
27.8Form22.2
33.0Power34.8
1.28xG1.32