Copa RioCopa Rio
Monday, 20 July 202623:00Last updated 14:59
Volta Redonda

Volta Redonda

Home
L
00
Full time
São Gonçalo EC RJ

São Gonçalo EC RJ

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
São Gonçalo EC RJ(27%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Volta Redonda
49%
Draw
24%
São Gonçalo EC RJ
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Volta Redonda
34
São Gonçalo EC RJ
73
Defence
Volta Redonda
27
São Gonçalo EC RJ
66
Momentum
Volta Redonda
0
São Gonçalo EC RJ
100
Danger (xG)
Volta Redonda
0.90
São Gonçalo EC RJ
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Volta Redonda)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (São Gonçalo EC RJ)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Volta Redonda)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (São Gonçalo EC RJ)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Volta RedondaVolta Redonda
LDLWL
São Gonçalo EC RJSão Gonçalo EC RJ
WDL

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Volta Redonda49%
Draw24%
São Gonçalo EC RJ27%

Volta Redonda leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Volta Redonda head into this in Copa Rio fixture in mixed form (L), while São Gonçalo EC RJ arrive in mixed form (W). Volta Redonda have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for São Gonçalo EC RJ over 1 games.

Tactically, São Gonçalo EC RJ hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Volta Redonda defence (27/100), while Volta Redonda's attack faces a solid São Gonçalo EC RJ backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Volta Redonda have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. São Gonçalo EC RJ have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

São Gonçalo EC RJ have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects São Gonçalo EC RJ to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Volta Redonda 4885%, Draw 2395%, São Gonçalo EC RJ 2720%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Volta Redonda 0Draws 01 São Gonçalo EC RJ
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
16 Jul 2026
Volta Redonda
L12
São Gonçalo EC RJ

Recent form

Volta Redonda

Volta Redonda

L
@ São Gonçalo EC RJ
16 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Figueirense
14 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Maringá
4 Jul 2026
04
W
vs Amazonas
1 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Santa Cruz
16 May 2026
01
São Gonçalo EC RJ

São Gonçalo EC RJ

W
vs Volta Redonda
16 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Resende
16 May 2026
11
L
@ CFRJ / Maricá
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Volta Redonda vs São Gonçalo EC RJ?

GoalVio's model predicts São Gonçalo EC RJ to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Volta Redonda vs São Gonçalo EC RJ?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Volta Redonda vs São Gonçalo EC RJ?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Volta Redonda vs São Gonçalo EC RJ?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more