GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paysandu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Volta Redonda are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Paysandu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paysandu hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Serie C, while Paysandu holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paysandu

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

16.9%

Paysandu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volta RedondaDDWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PaysanduWWLDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Volta RedondaPaysandu
22.9Attack52.1
56.3Defence54.2
37.5Form54.2
41.3Power55.5
0.67xG1.30
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