Volos NFCvs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.38 | 11.1% | 11.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 19.0% | 18.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 69.9% | 70.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
70.4%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80