GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Volos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Original prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home11.288.3%25.2%16.9 pts
Draw5.5716.9%25.8%8.9 pts
Away1.2674.8%48.9%-25.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volos NFCDDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olympiakos PiraeusWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Volos NFCOlympiakos Piraeus
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
31.3Power83.3
1.03xG1.34
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