Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volos NFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volos NFC 2-2 Kalamata
Original prediction
Volos NFC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.0% | 43.2% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 26.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.3% | 29.8% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Volos NFC
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Volos NFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Volos NFCDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KalamataLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Volos NFCKalamata
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
1.82xG1.41