Volos NFCvs
AEK Athens FC
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volos NFC 1-2 AEK Athens FC
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.16 | 10.2% | 18.4% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.24 | 17.8% | 22.6% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 72.0% | 59.0% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40