Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slonim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Volna are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Slonim are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Slonim hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the 1. Division, while Slonim holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Slonim
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
10.1%
Slonim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80