Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Volna are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Niva are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00