Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Volna are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Niva are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/4.00