Volna Nizhegorodskayavs
Ryazan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna Nizhegorodskaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0-2 Ryazan
Original prediction
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.7% | 45.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 28.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.6% | 25.7% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00