Volna Nizhegorodskayavs
Rotor Volgograd
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna Nizhegorodskaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2-0 Rotor Volgograd
Original prediction
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.8% | 35.7% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.5% | 29.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.7% | 34.9% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40