Volgar Astrakhanvs
Volga Ulyanovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volgar Astrakhan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volgar Astrakhan 0-0 Volga Ulyanovsk
Original prediction
Volgar Astrakhan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.3% | 38.6% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.7% | 27.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.0% | 34.1% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Volgar Astrakhan
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Volgar Astrakhan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40