Volgar Astrakhanvs
Spartak Nalchik
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volgar Astrakhan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volgar Astrakhan 3-0 Spartak Nalchik
Original prediction
Volgar Astrakhan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.7% | 48.4% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 26.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 18.9% | 25.6% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Volgar Astrakhan
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Volgar Astrakhan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20