GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Volgar Astrakhan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Volgar Astrakhan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Spartak Nalchik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Volgar Astrakhan hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Cup, while Volgar Astrakhan holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Volgar Astrakhan

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

12.1%

Volgar Astrakhan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volgar AstrakhanWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak NalchikDLWDW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Volgar AstrakhanSpartak Nalchik
66.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.81xG1.10
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