Volgar Astrakhanvs
Novosibirsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novosibirsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Volgar Astrakhan 0-0 Novosibirsk, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Novosibirsk
Original prediction
Novosibirsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.3% | 31.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.0% | 30.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.7% | 39.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Volgar Astrakhan 0–0 Novosibirsk
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Novosibirsk
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Novosibirsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80