Volgar Astrakhanvs
Kaluga
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volgar Astrakhan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Volgar Astrakhan 0-0 Kaluga, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Kaluga
Original prediction
Volgar Astrakhan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.7% | 39.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 33.5% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.7% | 26.6% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Projected Score
Volgar Astrakhan 0–0 Kaluga
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Volgar Astrakhan
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Volgar Astrakhan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80