Volgar Astrakhanvs
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Volgar Astrakhan 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Volgar Astrakhan 4-4 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.0% | 31.1% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.78 | 32.3% | 36.5% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.7% | 32.4% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.78 · Draw 1.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Volgar Astrakhan 0–0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60