GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Volgar Astrakhan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Akron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Akron hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the First League, while Akron holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akron

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Akron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volgar AstrakhanLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AkronWDDWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Volgar AstrakhanAkron
28.4Attack47.1
56.9Defence74.5
33.3Form57.8
41.8Power60.2
0.44xG1.17
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