Volga Ulyanovskvs
Murom
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volga Ulyanovsk 0-0 Murom
Original prediction
Volga Ulyanovsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.7% | 37.9% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.6% | 28.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.7% | 33.2% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Volga Ulyanovsk
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20