GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Volga Ulyanovsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chayka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.5 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volga UlyanovskLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Volga UlyanovskChayka
27.8Attack42.6
66.7Defence61.1
42.6Form42.6
48.5Power49.5
0.69xG0.78
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