Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volda 4-1 Orkla
Original prediction
Volda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 84.5% | 73.4% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 8.74 | 10.4% | 14.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 17.89 | 5.1% | 12.0% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Volda
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Volda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VoldaWDWWW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OrklaLDDWD
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
VoldaOrkla
87.3Attack61.9
63.5Defence7.9
73.0Form31.7
72.5Power35.9
4.50xG1.20