Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Volda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Melhus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Volda hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Volda holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Volda
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
7.1%
Volda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80