Voitsbergvs
Sturm Graz
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturm Graz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Voitsberg 1-4 Sturm Graz
Original prediction
Sturm Graz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.44 | 14.1% | 34.0% | 19.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.01 | 18.2% | 23.6% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.7% | 42.4% | -25.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Sturm Graz
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VoitsbergLLDWD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm GrazLDWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VoitsbergSturm Graz
100.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power97.0
2.25xG1.92