2. Liga2. Liga
Friday, 31 July 202617:30Updated today
Voitsberg

Voitsberg

Home
D
vs
17:30
SKU Amstetten

SKU Amstetten

Away
WD
Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg
GoalVio prediction
66% confidence
Voitsberg(66%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Voitsberg
66%
Draw
21%
SKU Amstetten
12%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Voitsberg
9
SKU Amstetten
73
Defence
Voitsberg
91
SKU Amstetten
66
Momentum
Voitsberg
33
SKU Amstetten
67
Danger (xG)
Voitsberg
0.00
SKU Amstetten
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 3.61 xG for Voitsberg and 1.20 xG for SKU Amstetten — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 3-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Voitsberg holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.82 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Voitsberg)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (SKU Amstetten)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Voitsberg)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (SKU Amstetten)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VoitsbergVoitsberg
D
SKU AmstettenSKU Amstetten
WDWL

Probability breakdown

66% confidence
Voitsberg66%
Draw21%
SKU Amstetten12%

Voitsberg leads with 66% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Voitsberg Strong Favourites — Model Projects 3-1

Voitsberg host SKU Amstetten in 2. Liga. Voitsberg have recorded WWWWWW in recent matches while SKU Amstetten arrive with a run of LLWWDW. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.61 expected goals for Voitsberg against 1.20 for SKU Amstetten — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Voitsberg's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 53% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 📈 Recent Form Voitsberg arrive in better recent form — 6 wins from 10 matches (WWWWWW) against SKU Amstetten's 3. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Voitsberg are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.61 projected against 1.20 for SKU Amstetten. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 2.41 is the clearest signal in the model that Voitsberg are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Voitsberg are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • SKU Amstetten are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Voitsberg

Voitsberg

D
@ SV Lafnitz
15 May 2026
00
SKU Amstetten

SKU Amstetten

W
@ Krems / Rehberg
17 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Artis
10 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Táborsko
30 Jun 2026
30
L
@ Austria Lustenau
14 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

GoalVio's model predicts Voitsberg to win with 66% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Voitsberg vs SKU Amstetten?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more