GGOALVIO

Austria · 2. Liga · 10/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Voitsberg 1-2 First Vienna

Original prediction

First Vienna

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0030.5%20.7%-9.8 pts
Draw3.5026.2%20.7%-5.5 pts
Away2.1243.3%58.6%15.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.0–29%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

First Vienna

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VoitsbergLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
First ViennaWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VoitsbergFirst Vienna
50.0Attack70.8
37.5Defence66.7
37.5Form79.2
43.6Power72.2
1.08xG2.41
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