GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tord · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vänersborgs IF 0-1 Tord

Original prediction

Tord

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8631.6%30.0%-1.6 pts
Draw3.6424.9%22.1%-2.8 pts
Away2.0843.5%47.9%4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Tord

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Tord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vänersborgs IFLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TordLDLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vänersborgs IFTord
37.0Attack38.9
7.4Defence40.7
16.7Form22.2
24.4Power36.3
1.39xG1.85
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