Vänersborgs IFvs
IFK Skövde
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Skövde · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vänersborgs IF 0-1 IFK Skövde
Original prediction
IFK Skövde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.10 | 15.1% | 7.7% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.4% | 13.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 65.5% | 79.1% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
IFK Skövde
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
IFK Skövde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40