Vänersborgs IFvs
Grebbestad
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/11/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grebbestad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vänersborgs IF 1-2 Grebbestad
Original prediction
Grebbestad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.40 | 20.6% | 13.1% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.4% | 15.7% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.0% | 71.2% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–29%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Grebbestad
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
Grebbestad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80