Vänersborgs IFvs
Ahlafors
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/25/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahlafors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-4 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vänersborgs IF 1-2 Ahlafors
Original prediction
Ahlafors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.11 | 17.6% | 16.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.51 | 20.0% | 18.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.4% | 64.8% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–312%
- 2.0–411%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Ahlafors
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Ahlafors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00