Vänersborgs FKvs
Tord
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vänersborgs FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vänersborgs FK 1-2 Tord
Original prediction
Vänersborgs FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.5% | 50.8% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 23.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.0% | 26.1% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Vänersborgs FK
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Vänersborgs FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40