Vänersborgs FKvs
Kumla
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/8/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vänersborgs FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vänersborgs FK 3-3 Kumla
Original prediction
Vänersborgs FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.0% | 44.8% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 26.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 29.0% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Vänersborgs FK
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Vänersborgs FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00