Vänersborgs FKvs
Husqvarna
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Husqvarna · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (11%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vänersborgs FK 1-3 Husqvarna
Original prediction
Husqvarna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.3% | 18.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 22.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.9% | 59.7% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Husqvarna
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Husqvarna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40