Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
VMA are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Berga are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (22.7 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.1% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
84.1%
Model confidence
84.1%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/5.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.50/4.50