Völsungurvs
IR Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Völsungur 3-1 IR Reykjavik
Original prediction
IR Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 34.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 20.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.9% | 45.2% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
IR Reykjavik
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
IR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00